UC Irvine/Pepperdine economics profs predict negative consequences for minimum wage hike
Caravaggio, The fortune teller, c. 1595. Image by Frans Vandewalle
Local economics professors David Neumark and David Smith read the tea leaves on California's minimum wage increase (up by 50 cents to tally $16/hr), pointing out studies that connect mandated pay hikes with dirtier restaurants, pricier goods/services for locals, and tremendous job losses (perhaps up to 50,000). From ABC30 in Fresno.
[On January 1, 2024], the minimum wage in California will go up by 50 cents to $16 an hour.
By April 1 2024, fast food restaurants with 60 locations or more by law will have to pay $20 an hour.
Economics professors are estimating this could impact customers in many ways.
"You might have longer lines, you might have dirtier, dirty restaurants. There is even a study from Seattle that when they raised the minimum wage, hygiene violations increased, but consumer prices are also one potential route," says David Neumark, a UIC Economics Professor.
In addition, some employers may choose to cut back in more ways than one.
"Some estimates suggest that we could have up to 50,000 jobs lost in the state of California," explains David Smith, a professor at Pepperdine University.
This has already proven true for one South Valley Pizza Hut location.
Just last week, their delivery drivers received a letter of separation.
Marvin William Lopez Rangel will be laid off due to the minimum wage going up.
Marvin has been a driver for five years and is one of the many who will be laid off.
He believes it's due to the wage increase.
Thankfully, he has another job to rely on, but he says he's concerned for his colleagues who may no longer have the means to feed their families.
This article originally appeared in ABC30. Read the whole thing here.
Related:
Surging minimum wage harms SJ's less wealthy residents, says expert
Opinion: SJ's minimum wage increases actually quell job opportunities
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